Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14 (Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects)
CIA-UAP-015 · page 143 of 312
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TABLE A39 EVALUATION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY SIGHTING RELIABILITY Evaluation | EXCELLENT | GOOD | DOUBTFUL | POOR Number | Per Cent | Number | Per Cent | Number | Per Cent | Number | Per Cent Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total 0-Balloon | 17 | 8 | 25 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 11.8 | 83 | 144 | 127 | 11.0 | 5.8 | 16.8 | 73 | 58 | 131 | 9.2 | 7.3 | 16.5 | 34 | 22 | 56 | 7.8 | 5.1 | 12.9 1-Astronomical | 32 | 20 | 52 | 15.0 | 9.4 | 24.4 | 108 | 66 | 174 | 14.3 | 8.7 | 23.0 | 88 | 66 | 154 | 11.1 | 8.3 | 19.4 | 46 | 53 | 99 | 10.6 | 12.2 | 22.8 2-Aircraft | 25 | 16 | 41 | 11.7 | 7.5 | 19.2 | 89 | 77 | 166 | 11.8 | 10.2 | 22.0 | 109 | 89 | 198 | 13.7 | 11.2 | 24.9 | 42 | 27 | 69 | 9.7 | 6.2 | 15.9 3-Light Phenom. | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 4-Birds | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 6-Insuffic. Info. | 9 | 0 | 9 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 27 | 0 | 27 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 111 | 0 | 111 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 93 | 0 | 93 | 21.4 | 0.0 | 21.4 7-Psychological | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 20 | 6 | 26 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 3.3 8-Unknown | 71 | 0 | 71 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 188 | 0 | 188 | 24.8 | 0.0 | 24.8 | 103 | 0 | 103 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 72 | 0 | 72 | 16.6 | 0.0 | 16.6 9-Other | 11 | 0 | 11 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 5.2 | 31 | 7 | 38 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 5.0 | 27 | 9 | 36 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 16 | 8 | 24 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 5.5 Total | 167 | 46 | 213 | 78.4 | 21.6 | 100. | 544 | 213 | 757 | 71.9 | 28.1 | 100. | 552 | 242 | 794 | 69.5 | 30.5 | 100. | 322 | 113 | 435 | 74.0 | 26.0 | 100. TABLE A40 EVALUATION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY SIGHTING RELIABILITY Evaluation | EXCELLENT | GOOD | DOUBTFUL | POOR Number | Per Cent | Number | Per Cent | Number | Per Cent | Number | Per Cent Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total 0-Balloon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 7.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10.7 | 0.0 | 10.7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13.3 | 0.0 | 13.3 1-Astronomical | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 14.3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9.1 | 18.2 | 27.3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10.7 | 14.3 | 25.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 6.7 2-Aircraft | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 14.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 3-Light Phenom. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 4-Birds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 6-Insuffic. Info. | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 14.3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 9.1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 7.1 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 7-Psychological | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7.1 | 36.0 | 10.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 6.7 8-Unknown | 5 | 0 | 5 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 35.7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31.8 | 0.0 | 31.8 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 28.6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13.3 | 0.0 | 13.3 9-Other | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 14.3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 9.1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 14.3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 Total | 13 | 1 | 14 | 92.9 | 7.1 | 100. | 16 | 6 | 22 | 72.7 | 27.3 | 100. | 23 | 5 | 28 | 82.1 | 17.9 | 100. | 15 | 0 | 15 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 100. TABLE A41 EVALUATION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY SIGHTING RELIABILITY Evaluation | EXCELLENT | GOOD | DOUBTFUL | POOR Number | Per Cent | Number | Per Cent | Number | Per Cent | Number | Per Cent Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total 0-Balloon | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 11.8 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 12.5 | 10.4 | 22.9 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 7.1 | 5.7 | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 1-Astronomical | 6 | 3 | 9 | 35.3 | 17.6 | 52.9 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 18.7 | 8.3 | 27.0 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 12.9 | 20.0 | 32.9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12.5 | 25.0 | 37.5 2-Aircraft | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11.8 | 0.0 | 11.8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 6.2 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 12.9 | 5.7 | 18.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 12.5 3-Light Phenom. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 6.3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 4-Birds | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2.1 | 4.2 | 6.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 6-Insuffic. Info. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 18.6 | 0.0 | 18.6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 7-Psychological | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 8-Unknown | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17.6 | 0.0 | 17.6 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 16.7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 12.5 9-Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 8.3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0.0 | 8.6 | 8.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 12.5 Total | 12 | 5 | 17 | 70.6 | 29.4 | 100. | 35 | 13 | 48 | 92.9 | 27.1 | 100. | 40 | 30 | 70 | 57.1 | 42.9 | 100. | 6 | 2 | 8 | 75.0 | 25.0 | 100. TABLE A42 EVALUATION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY SIGHTING RELIABILITY Evaluation | EXCELLENT | GOOD | DOUBTFUL | POOR Number | Per Cent | Number | Per Cent | Number | Per Cent | Number | Per Cent Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total | Certain | Doubtful | Total 0-Balloon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10.8 | 2.7 | 13.5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 6.9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 5.5 1-Astronomical | 5 | 4 | 9 | 29.4 | 23.5 | 52.9 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 35.1 | 37.8 | 12 | 15 | 27 | 20.7 | 25.9 | 46.6 | 11 | 23 | 34 | 14.9 | 31.1 | 46.0 2-Aircraft | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 5.9 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 13.5 | 16.2 | 29.7 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 12.1 | 1.7 | 13.8 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 13.6 3-Light Phenom. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 4-Birds | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 5.9 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 5-Clouds, Dust, etc. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 6-Insuffic. Info. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 8.1 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 22.4 | 0.0 | 22.4 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 12.2 | 0.0 | 12.2 7-Psychological | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 4.1 8-Unknown | 5 | 0 | 5 | 29.4 | 0.0 | 29.4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 10.8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 5.2 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 13.5 | 0.0 | 13.5 9-Other | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 5.4 Total | 12 | 5 | 17 | 70.6 | 29.4 | 100. | 17 | 20 | 37 | 46.9 | 54.1 | 100. | 43 | 16 | 58 | 72.4 | 27.6 | 100. | 45 | 29 | 74 | 60.8 | 39.2 | 100. 134