Department of the Air Force Report, 1996

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0.1.4 Representative Configurations
The last column in the tables in· Appendix D indicates whether the vehicle
configuration is considered sufficiently similar to- current and future vehicles for the
test result to be included in the representative data sample used to· predict absolute
reliability. A "1" in the column indicates that the test result is included, while a "(Y'
indicates that it is excluded. There are likely to be differences of opinion about which
past configurations are representative and which are not. In determining which to
include, RTI has relied entirely on the Booz•Allen & Hamilton report'41 referred to
earlier. When faced with the same problem, Booz•Allen established the following
criteria for deciding whether past configurations were sufficiently similar to current
configurations:
(1) Genealogy: Is the current system a direct or indirect derivative of the historical
configuration?
(2) Operations: Is the current system operated in the same manner as the historical
configurations (e.g., ICBM versus space-launch vehicle)?
(3) Composition: Does the current system use the same types of elements (i.e., SRMs,
upper stage, etc.)?
Based on these criteria and other factors, Booz•Allen decided to use test results from
flights of the following vehicle configurations to predict future success rates:
Atlas: SLV-3 and later configurations to include SLV-3A, SLV-3C, SLV-3D, G, H, I, II,
IIA, ITAS. (Excluded: Atlas A, B, C, L V-3A, 3B, 3C, D, E, F)
Delta: 291X and later configurations to include 391X, 392X, 492X, 592X, 692X, 792X.
Titan: Titan IIIC and later configurations to include IIIB, IIID, IIIE, 34B, 34D, III/CT,
IV, II-SLV.
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